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U.S. Elections 2024

Outlook on the Economy, Financial Markets, and the Global Trade System AGI and the Swiss private bank Bergos have released a new report, “U.S. Elections 2024: Outlook on the Economy, …

Friendshoring: A Sea Change for the Global Economy?

This article originally appeared in German in the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. The international order is experiencing a once-in-a-generation turning point. The fall of the Berlin Wall thirty-five years ago ended …

U.S. Trade Policy at a Crossroads

If Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump were placed along an axis spanning from protectionism to free trade, would that offer a meaningful way to understand their campaign proposals …

Does Germany Need an Economic Pivot?

With customary fanfare, Germany’s political heavyweights recently opened the construction site of a new semiconductor facility in Saxony. For Chancellor Olaf Scholz and the newly confirmed European Commission President Ursula …

The G7 Summit and the Two Worlds of Geoeconomics and Geopolitics

The G7 summit that took place on June 13-15 in Borgo Egnazia, in the southeastern Italian region of Puglia, may be remembered by historians as a turning point. Not for the …

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Public Debt: Is the Next Crisis Looming?

Debt sustainability has a lot to do with trust. There are early warning indicators for sovereign debt crises that can indicate an incipient loss of confidence. However, fiscal and monetary …

Realism, Idealism, and U.S. Trade Policy

For nearly 100 years, U.S. trade policy has been judged by where it is situated along a continuum from protectionism to free trade. With the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act of …

The Transatlantic Economy in an Election Year

This year will see elections in both the United States (the White House and Congress) and the European Union (the European Parliament and indirectly the next President of the European …

China Is Listening

But It Won’t Be Business as Usual When European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and President of the European Council Charles Michel departed China after last week’s EU-China Summit, …

Toward a Sustainable Global Economy

The Potential and Limits of a Climate Club and other Plurilateral Initiatives Climate change, loss of biodiversity, pandemics, widening economic inequalities and poverty, high debt and shrinking fiscal space, financial …

A Transatlantic Geoeconomic Alliance against China?

The EU’s impending announcement of an anti-subsidy investigation into Chinese steelmakers at the October EU-U.S. summit is among the latest evidence of the expanding fissure in the global economy along …

The Legacy of Ursula von der Leyen

Is the EU Fit for the New Global Disorder? The recent political turmoil in Washington seems to have triggered a new bout of angst among European partners. It served as …

Andreas Freytag, DAAD/AGI Research Fellow

AGI is pleased to welcome Dr. Andreas Freytag as a DAAD/AGI Research Fellow in October and November 2023. Dr. Andreas Freytag is Professor of Economics at the Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, Honorary Professor …

Geoeconomics and A Sustainable Global Order

Transatlantic Policy Perspectives The United States, Germany, and the rest of the European Union face a global economic order that has been profoundly—and likely irreversibly—affected by a confluence of existential …